Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ab92f52e30afcf8aeb338d31c985c369f0e39198d3b3d00a29fa791076036f

Rebuilt 14 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	46c	6,450$2,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,502.09	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	56c	3,704$2,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,612.28	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over	46c	2,572$1,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,378.03	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0b97…0efebacked Under	54c	2,040$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.59	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Under	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.99	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed Under	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.97	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under	54c	1,771$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.14	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under	54c	1,273$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.59	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+21.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Over	45c	1,111$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.11	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	52c	906.65$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.91	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under	55c	903.04$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	102	60.8%62 W · 40 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	54c	870$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.8	258	57.4%148 W · 110 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under	55c	750$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	320	42.2%135 W · 185 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Under	53c	637.74$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under	54c	582.65$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.63	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	52c	466.96$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.09	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	54c	362.86$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.94	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	45c	333$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.15	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	14c	318.96$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.62	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under	54c	249.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.99	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under	54c	238.29$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.84	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	222	42.3%94 W · 128 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Under	53c	216$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.48	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	17c	200.03$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.57	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	53c	157.73$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…8f46backed Under	54c	149.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Under	54c	148.26$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under	53c	132.08$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	96	22.9%22 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over	43c	122.3$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.71	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Over	47c	106$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.18	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under	55c	105.84$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.21	139	56.8%79 W · 60 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over	46c	102.17$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.17	281	49.8%140 W · 141 L	+19.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	262	46.9%123 W · 139 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over	47c	97.08$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.7	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	53c	94.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcbe…8ac8backed Under	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	16c	85.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	54c	85.54$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	52c	81$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.12	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over	46c	80$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	218	40.8%89 W · 129 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	54c	74.46$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.44	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7a…296bbacked Under	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under	55c	61.82$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under	54c	60.61$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	381	55.4%211 W · 170 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	559	42.4%237 W · 322 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61d7…cb0cbacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b4…14c0backed Under	40c	37.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under	55c	37.66$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.71	377	47.7%180 W · 197 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Over	50c	34.93$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	54c	32.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	54c	30.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	55c	29.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	78.4%29 W · 8 L	+9.5wins	+0.26per pick	53cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Under	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	258	41.1%106 W · 152 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	57c	26.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.07	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	57c	25.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	57c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	57c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 Cornersthis page
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
Spain vs. Austria: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event