Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddbe73fefe9dcf4150ecd40d59c70d9b7c860f8abaf019652c8b5ca799089855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 995.95$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 37c | 524.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 37c | 499.91$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 32c | 470.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 39c | 369.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 62c | 321.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…92b5backed Under | 37c | 273.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 38c | 270.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…4fd1backed Under | 38c | 215$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 64c | 198.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…1dc9backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 30c | 156.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…51e1backed Over | 61c | 156.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…3b01backed Over | 67c | 147$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 36c | 137.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb54d…a14ebacked Over | 61c | 124.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 33c | 112.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Under | 37c | 97.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 37c | 97.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Under | 20c | 76.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…9f42backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 35c | 71.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 39c | 64.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…e1b0backed Over | 63c | 64.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Over | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 300 | 60%180 W · 120 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…668abacked Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Over | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 49.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Over | 65c | 46.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…c5f9backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Over | 69c | 43.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Over | 67c | 38.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e902backed Over | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…357ebacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…02a1backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f6a1backed Over | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…aa6bbacked Over | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…d7e1backed Over | 62c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035e…1e57backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 79c | 24.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…6ac6backed Over | 63c | 23.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 73c | 21.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Austria: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.