Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac67b24536016d649ca6a1aa1df51b62b7a2695cbfcbde15befae2f0c02446f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 36c | 4,536$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 65c | 1,627$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.1 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 35c | 1,137$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.07 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -10.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 63c | 937.16$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.75 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 66c | 789.78$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.78 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…d262backed Over | 34c | 774.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 65c | 597.33$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.9 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 64c | 454.91$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 66c | 372$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Under | 65c | 355.63$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 63c | 346.54$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 66c | 317.32$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 271.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 64c | 240.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 27c | 111.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Over | 32c | 101.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…ad59backed Under | 70c | 68.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 30c | 63.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…7a42backed Under | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 28c | 58.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 63c | 52.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 37c | 39.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 35c | 39.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 32.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 63c | 31.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 64c | 27.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903d…84a1backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 62c | 18.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Austria: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.