Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b5b1c0aa8573b354c9c631ae1bb0b3050f456bf421db8d93094c4af71816ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 38c | 600.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.64 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6798…7fbdbacked Over | 75c | 316.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Over | 37c | 216.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 34c | 206.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…a5d4backed Under | 14c | 204.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…9610backed Under | 74c | 202.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 66c | 189$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 62c | 172.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…2081backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 69c | 164.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 141$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 135.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 65c | 123.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b72ebacked Under | 73c | 108.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 66c | 92.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 33c | 91.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Over | 38c | 80.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Over | 34c | 73.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 64.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 26c | 63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 68c | 58.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 34c | 52.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 62c | 47.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed Over | 29c | 36.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Under | 67c | 35.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…d9ecbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Austria: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.