UFC · resolved market
Swanson vs. Quarantillo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e5c55da857fcb0924c1c39525a2dfcad1c1e9a62a8077a05f37b1da3e6425c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swansonof Swanson, Quarantillo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Swanson | 42c | 22,119$9,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,908.57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Swanson | 42c | 20,353$8,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,804.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Quarantillo | 60c | 19,946$12,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,052.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…5e50backed Quarantillo | 58c | 10,005$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,802.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Swanson | 34c | 4,326$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.6 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Swanson | 40c | 4,006$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.17 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Swanson | 31c | 2,589$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.89 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Quarantillo | 60c | 2,527$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.96 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Quarantillo | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Quarantillo | 61c | 2,094$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.35 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Swanson | 37c | 2,056$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.8 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…75bcbacked Swanson | 37c | 2,050$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Swanson | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Swanson | 36c | 1,822$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.69 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…007fbacked Swanson | 40c | 1,745$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Quarantillo | 58c | 1,320$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.94 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Swanson | 40c | 1,264$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Quarantillo | 60c | 1,255$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.5 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Swanson | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Swanson | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Swanson | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Swanson | 37c | 799.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.97 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Quarantillo | 64c | 624.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Swanson | 42c | 430$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Swanson | 41c | 363.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Swanson | 38c | 337.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.46 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Swanson | 42c | 332.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Swanson | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…3a15backed Swanson | 41c | 258.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Swanson | 42c | 255$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…341bbacked Swanson | 42c | 248.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Quarantillo | 64c | 247$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…ad30backed Quarantillo | 61c | 240.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Quarantillo | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…3d45backed Swanson | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Swanson | 39c | 203.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Swanson | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Quarantillo | 61c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Swanson | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Swanson | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Quarantillo | 72c | 197.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Quarantillo | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Quarantillo | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Quarantillo | 63c | 163.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Swanson | 41c | 154.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Quarantillo | 66c | 151.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Swanson | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4805backed Swanson | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Quarantillo | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…88d2backed Quarantillo | 64c | 143.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Quarantillo | 56c | 141.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Quarantillo | 56c | 123.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Swanson | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked Quarantillo | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Swanson | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…0d9abacked Quarantillo | 44c | 115.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Quarantillo | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Quarantillo | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Swanson | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Quarantillo | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Quarantillo | 59c | 98.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…d5c7backed Quarantillo | 64c | 97.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…ac71backed Quarantillo | 60c | 82.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Swanson | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Quarantillo | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09cc…b956backed Quarantillo | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Swanson | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Swanson | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…67c3backed Quarantillo | 64c | 70.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Swanson | 39c | 68.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…17f8backed Swanson | 40c | 61.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Swanson | 41c | 60.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…578dbacked Swanson | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…75f4backed Swanson | 36c | 56.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Swanson | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Swanson | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Swanson | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Swanson | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Swanson | 25c | 49.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Swanson | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…0cd4backed Quarantillo | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Quarantillo | 62c | 35.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Quarantillo | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Quarantillo | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…6b77backed Quarantillo | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…a89fbacked Quarantillo | 69c | 29.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Swanson | 41c | 27.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed Quarantillo | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…682dbacked Quarantillo | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Swanson | 46c | 21.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ad…cc72backed Quarantillo | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Quarantillo | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swanson vs. Quarantillothis page
- Alvarez vs. KloseAlvarez won
- Covington vs. BuckleyBuckley won
- Grant vs.TaverasGrant won
- Johns vs. LimaLima won
- Johnson vs. AzaitarJohnson won
- Kape vs. SilvaKape won
- Knutsson vs. RodriguezRodriguez won
- Maverick vs. HorthMaverick won
- Petrino vs. JacobyJacoby won
- Stirling vs. TokkosStirling won
- Woodson vs. PadillaWoodson won
- Yanez vs. MarcosMarcos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.