UFC · resolved market
Petrino vs. Jacoby
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640fe91193dca5e24bed52c34f21221f3e25b7f25db952f412830780eb109f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacobyof Petrino, Jacoby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Jacoby | 68c | 2,080$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.88 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.40per pick | 47cpaid | +914%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Petrino | 76c | 1,991$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.53 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jacoby | 27c | 1,975$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.45 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Petrino | 73c | 1,576$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.99 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Petrino | 76c | 1,213$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Jacoby | 27c | 1,181$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.66 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jacoby | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Jacoby | 25c | 964.82$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Petrino | 73c | 886$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Jacoby | 27c | 851.85$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.85 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Petrino | 75c | 679.92$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.94 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Jacoby | 25c | 660.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.41 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…88d2backed Petrino | 75c | 650$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jacoby | 24c | 622.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.18 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Jacoby | 25c | 607$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Petrino | 71c | 514.76$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.35 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Petrino | 73c | 504.35$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.18 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Petrino | 75c | 490.38$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.15 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Jacoby | 26c | 471.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.6 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Petrino | 72c | 444.52$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.37 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Jacoby | 25c | 415.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.1 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Jacoby | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Petrino | 55c | 350.23$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Petrino | 75c | 350$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4805backed Jacoby | 27c | 317$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Jacoby | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Jacoby | 23c | 276.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jacoby | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Jacoby | 29c | 228.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.28 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Petrino | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Jacoby | 26c | 197.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Jacoby | 26c | 180$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…341bbacked Jacoby | 30c | 160$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ba…9e00backed Petrino | 76c | 154.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Petrino | 73c | 138$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Petrino | 74c | 134.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…683bbacked Jacoby | 20c | 125.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09cc…b956backed Petrino | 76c | 111.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Petrino | 73c | 104.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…a744backed Petrino | 76c | 103.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Jacoby | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Petrino | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Jacoby | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Petrino | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Petrino | 76c | 85.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…5272backed Petrino | 76c | 75.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Petrino | 73c | 69.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…211fbacked Jacoby | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Jacoby | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Petrino | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…c338backed Petrino | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…aaf5backed Petrino | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Petrino | 77c | 57.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…6b77backed Petrino | 74c | 55.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Jacoby | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…9a86backed Petrino | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…65bcbacked Petrino | 73c | 40.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Petrino | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…0d9abacked Petrino | 66c | 34.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…67c3backed Petrino | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Petrino | 76c | 33.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…66a7backed Petrino | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4600…4352backed Petrino | 79c | 31.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e013backed Petrino | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Petrino | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…e32dbacked Petrino | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Petrino | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…d566backed Petrino | 75c | 17.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Petrino vs. Jacobythis page
- Alvarez vs. KloseAlvarez won
- Covington vs. BuckleyBuckley won
- Grant vs.TaverasGrant won
- Johns vs. LimaLima won
- Johnson vs. AzaitarJohnson won
- Kape vs. SilvaKape won
- Knutsson vs. RodriguezRodriguez won
- Maverick vs. HorthMaverick won
- Stirling vs. TokkosStirling won
- Swanson vs. QuarantilloSwanson won
- Woodson vs. PadillaWoodson won
- Yanez vs. MarcosMarcos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.