TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5625…66a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$202.94
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$67.11
Lee vs. Sosabacked Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+83.2%+$41.26
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$132.82
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.22
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejosbacked Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$16.25
UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. Orolbaibacked Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$11.98
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleybacked Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
de Ridder vs. Nickalbacked Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Machado Garry vs. Pratesbacked Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$9.99
Prochazka vs. Hillbacked Prochazka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Petrino vs. Jacobybacked Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+145.7%+$36.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.