Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat Hoffenheim?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1bd2d4d278126e6f5e64500ef7709579021920904956f57242a3c1fa316c285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 44c | 14,659$6,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,213.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 42c | 12,456$5,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 56c | 10,401$5,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,864.18 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 56c | 6,378$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.05 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 59c | 2,248$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.47 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,838$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.49 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 59c | 1,456$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.34 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…ebefbacked Yes | 58c | 1,424$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 39c | 1,281$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 6c | 964.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 59c | 942.38$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.28 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 19c | 747.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 44c | 594.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.39 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 69c | 467.51$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 60c | 376.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 352.91$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 55c | 346.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Yes | 39c | 305.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…11bfbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 61c | 285.33$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 62c | 255$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.59 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 69c | 227.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 60c | 151.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…4108backed Yes | 44c | 115.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…81f9backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 58c | 78.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked No | 57c | 45.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…c3cdbacked Yes | 44c | 45.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…8774backed No | 59c | 40.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac30…2538backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf113…2d48backed No | 57c | 37.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…1068backed No | 58c | 36.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28f…35b4backed Yes | 42c | 36.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4330…6142backed No | 62c | 36.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Yes | 38c | 36.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…e2a0backed No | 58c | 35.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…8ba9backed Yes | 42c | 35.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…c028backed Yes | 40c | 34.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…dea7backed No | 60c | 34.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…bfffbacked No | 58c | 34.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…e70ebacked Yes | 67c | 33.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…2df9backed No | 58c | 32.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…a52bbacked Yes | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…61debacked Yes | 38c | 30.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…8253backed No | 58c | 30.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…852cbacked Yes | 38c | 29.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…2630backed Yes | 42c | 28.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad5…386bbacked No | 58c | 28.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…e87bbacked Yes | 40c | 28.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…06ebbacked No | 60c | 28.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…e557backed Yes | 41c | 25.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…3767backed No | 59c | 25.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…6fcdbacked No | 62c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…795bbacked No | 58c | 18.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…600cbacked No | 62c | 16.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat Hoffenheim?this page
- Will Hoffenheim beat Tottenham?No won
- Will the match between Hoffenheim and Tottenham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.