NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68fdee23335b6d3e726e0e250c7784fd901da093e3d6eec26bb355b2a22c0fc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Suns, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Suns | 14c | 41,680$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Suns | 12c | 29,959$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 12c | 13,600$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Suns | 1c | 12,615$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns | 10c | 11,881$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.81 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Suns | 10c | 11,376$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.89 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Suns | 12c | 9,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Suns | 11c | 9,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns | 2c | 7,711$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Suns | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Suns | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Suns | 2c | 2,837$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Suns | 12c | 2,322$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Suns | 1c | 2,050$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…597dbacked Suns | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…7f63backed Suns | 2c | 1,960$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Suns | 3c | 1,275$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns | 8c | 1,236$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Suns | 1c | 1,201$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Suns | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns | 11c | 956$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Suns | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Suns | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Suns | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Suns | 2c | 616.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Suns | 3c | 602.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Suns | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Suns | 13c | 470.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Suns | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5a61backed Suns | 13c | 350.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Suns | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns | 9c | 276.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…0be5backed Suns | 12c | 258.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 7c | 228.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Suns | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Suns | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Suns | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Suns | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…a18bbacked Suns | 8c | 164.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Suns | 9c | 145.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…6c05backed Suns | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Suns | 11c | 122.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…255dbacked Suns | 13c | 116$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Suns | 11c | 113$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Suns | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Suns | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…76e3backed Suns | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Suns | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…64d3backed Suns | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Suns | 13c | 99.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Suns | 14c | 96.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…7418backed Suns | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.