NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57bec174b252a9093d7bb9315c1be7ad231f70b3fa1c8ff193591f6e6c28fee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed Hornets | 0c | 20,837$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 1c | 13,166$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 75c | 11,011$8,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 19c | 10,660$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.6 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets | 25c | 10,000$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.72 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 19c | 10,000$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.11 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 2c | 8,138$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Hornets | 19c | 7,100$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hornets | 19c | 5,300$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.06 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets | 1c | 4,597$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Hornets | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Hornets | 18c | 2,717$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.14 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets | 19c | 2,184$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.33 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Hornets | 19c | 2,150$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Hornets | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets | 18c | 2,088$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.02 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 1c | 1,986$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets | 5c | 1,844$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets | 18c | 1,500$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Hornets | 24c | 1,495$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.38 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 18c | 1,440$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Hornets | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 80c | 1,261$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.36 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets | 18c | 1,250$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Hornets | 25c | 1,220$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…b326backed Hornets | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets | 7c | 1,057$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0f…cd52backed Hornets | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649c…6e4fbacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…15e6backed Hornets | 17c | 995.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Kings | 75c | 830$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Hornets | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Hornets | 19c | 585.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Hornets | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Hornets | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 19c | 421$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…98b0backed Hornets | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Kings | 76c | 390.77$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Hornets | 24c | 362.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hornets | 17c | 323.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets | 5c | 267.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Hornets | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hornets | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…33d2backed Hornets | 19c | 236.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Kings | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Hornets | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Hornets | 24c | 186.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Hornets | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Hornets | 16c | 170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…86cbbacked Hornets | 18c | 139.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Hornets | 24c | 138.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…e6bdbacked Hornets | 20c | 120.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…5fe8backed Hornets | 18c | 115.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Hornets | 20c | 103.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Hornets | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…d2d2backed Hornets | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Hornets | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Hornets | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked Hornets | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Hornets | 18c | 74.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…902dbacked Hornets | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Hornets | 18c | 69.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 77c | 67.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…9631backed Hornets | 20c | 67.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Kings | 78c | 66.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…8133backed Hornets | 18c | 59.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…a13ebacked Hornets | 20c | 58.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…c1afbacked Hornets | 20c | 58.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Hornets | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…96e4backed Hornets | 18c | 57.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…137cbacked Hornets | 19c | 54.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Kings | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Kings | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.