Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26491f69a86d2372ee857968f1195b5593982a3f245b02c0e68b6dfd058c84fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 14c | 25,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 19,702$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes | 10c | 5,392$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.37 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 6c | 4,788$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.85 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 7c | 1,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,461$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,105$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,043$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,020$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +14.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 6c | 934$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 6c | 908$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…f8fcbacked Yes | 6c | 868.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 6c | 810$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 6c | 749.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 6c | 597.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 17c | 588.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 6c | 558$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…5730backed No | 61c | 544.66$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.42 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Yes | 13c | 486.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 6c | 463$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…4245backed Yes | 10c | 432.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 7c | 432$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 6c | 430$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 7c | 389.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 9c | 357.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…0b24backed Yes | 10c | 350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 15c | 329.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 6c | 320$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 14c | 304.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 6c | 291$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…a8d3backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 6c | 275$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 9c | 274$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…a72dbacked Yes | 7c | 257.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…78a2backed Yes | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e947backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…2f8ebacked Yes | 8c | 240.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +203%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…51a7backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 307 | 32.9%101 W · 206 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 208.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…c023backed Yes | 7c | 206.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 15c | 171.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…c63bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 14c | 140.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…bc89backed Yes | 10c | 131$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 152 | 9.2%14 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…4f5bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 27c | 95.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0668…027bbacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.