Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa09a80d6bf9034a272f6c3424ea6502de156bf4b0401c0f9d5f57f01265e0848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 8,637$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 4c | 7,320$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yes | 3c | 4,461$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 4c | 2,794$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,781$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…f522backed Yes | 4c | 2,720$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,708$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,151$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 3c | 1,755$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,640$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 3c | 1,526$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…f9c6backed Yes | 3c | 1,492$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…a739backed Yes | 4c | 1,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…cbc5backed Yes | 4c | 1,257$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9520…fa6ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Yes | 3c | 1,052$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…02dabacked Yes | 3c | 814.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 189 | 21.7%41 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 3c | 669.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…babdbacked Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…1672backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 468.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 4c | 437.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 3c | 327.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.