Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81340c029ce85770ad8e6a1cb464ca17f15e1fd0eefc7e048c45ffc0bad17499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 81,749$12,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,828.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 16c | 61,414$9,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,826.24 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…3d51backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 15c | 9,333$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 16c | 8,310$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.66 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 15c | 7,530$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.5 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 15c | 4,634$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 3,393$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.79 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 15c | 3,146$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.4 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 16c | 3,028$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 3,007$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.05 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,625$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…cbc5backed Yes | 16c | 2,447$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 16c | 2,438$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 16c | 2,188$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 16c | 2,003$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.51 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,917$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,430$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Yes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…48febacked Yes | 16c | 1,375$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,272$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 15c | 1,189$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 16c | 1,133$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 3c | 1,130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 8c | 1,105$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 16c | 1,088$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 16c | 926.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…26bfbacked Yes | 14c | 920.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 8c | 879$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 16c | 820.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…f702backed Yes | 15c | 795.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 13c | 765.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 2c | 731$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 16c | 720$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…393cbacked Yes | 14c | 719.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes | 16c | 687.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…f052backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…111ebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…f186backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 15c | 661.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes | 15c | 660$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 17c | 650.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 15c | 645.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 15c | 643.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes | 16c | 637.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…07edbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 31.3%71 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…d534backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…035abacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 33.9%56 W · 109 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…055bbacked Yes | 14c | 623.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 8c | 620$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 15c | 615.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…c1c1backed Yes | 16c | 603.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Yes | 14c | 578.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…d2d5backed Yes | 17c | 577.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…f540backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…c562backed Yes | 18c | 550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes | 18c | 538.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 16c | 523$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…5d03backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…d25bbacked Yes | 15c | 480$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 15c | 463$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…732cbacked Yes | 16c | 453.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 145 | 15.9%23 W · 122 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes | 16c | 452.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 136 | 10.3%14 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…4f38backed Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 435.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…c5d1backed Yes | 15c | 434.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 120 | 26.7%32 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 15c | 433.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 16c | 431.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 4c | 424$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 15c | 416$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…990fbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…972abacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Algeria?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.