TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3503…b8babacked No29c33,253$9,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,621.915448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed Yes71c21,850$15,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,352.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No30c10,390$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.8636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes71c10,100$7,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.013961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes74c6,447$4,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.1920462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No29c6,242$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.4339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No30c4,553$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.812240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No27c3,405$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.265754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes73c3,200$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8668452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Yes69c3,012$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.181216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-60.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.91553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75040222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No1c2,447$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.931020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36f…365bbacked Yes72c2,074$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.97560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Yes70c1,997$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.15875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No28c1,978$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.544955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes71c1,692$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.354143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf918…81f9backed Yes72c1,448$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.36825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes70c1,320$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.439244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes70c1,284$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce1…7dafbacked Yes72c1,265$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+123.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf674…59d0backed No28c1,265$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No29c1,242$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.177844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No29c1,125$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.8412359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes71c1,066$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2711735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes68c1,036$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.028040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…f9a6backed Yes72c1,032$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.71366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes70c1,000$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29813847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28012862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd803…1362backed Yes72c947.97$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No30c863.33$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2596527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcaf8…3632backed Yes70c748.57$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No27c748.25$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7330754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes71c626.18$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.592958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed No28c499.55$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.081450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No28c484.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7216836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes72c440.66$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed0…e6b2backed Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71bd…50d2backed Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes71c352.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.313139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.221070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes75c342.85$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8625450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf211…5ffcbacked Yes77c324.69$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.69837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No27c306.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4538048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes71c302.96$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.022347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Yes72c284.11$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Yes71c282.51$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.933847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.698638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No4c281$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5212737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No28c278.11$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5346956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.975149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No7c256.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.332313%3 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d66…89c4backed Yes70c250.18$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd152…2221backed Yes71c246.48$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a0d…4d64backed No28c244$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1689…a4f1backed Yes72c244$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5626…0fe6backed Yes73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6411443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5834449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d1…2056backed Yes70c173.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeee…0aa1backed Yes72c173.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No29c173.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.13946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3e…a171backed No29c168.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ed…ca1abacked No31c162.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff71…74bfbacked Yes72c161.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No28c160.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0838356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d4…2f06backed Yes71c158.72$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x257c…49aabacked Yes70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes71c150$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes71c145$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.053619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9691…8478backed No10c142.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f0…59ffbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb127…c5fdbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3718650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a1…13bebacked Yes70c119.94$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Yes72c119.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.441735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-44.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c7…978abacked No28c113$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca65…3dbbbacked Yes67c112.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No28c111.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3417658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Yes72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.114259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa162…57a8backed No28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f26…e4c8backed Yes72c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a2…6c31backed Yes72c106$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.686100%6 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+149.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9434…159abacked No28c105$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b0…55c3backed Yes72c105$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+148.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x154f…9a12backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea5…e0c1backed Yes71c98.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c22…e09abacked Yes72c97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225a…0492backed No28c97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-64.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes79c96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.529341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7a…a959backed No32c92.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa8…9a9ebacked Yes72c80.82$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes73c79.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.452250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.