TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Raptors12c25,929$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Raptors16c20,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20028241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons80c17,065$13,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.6762351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Raptors0c15,681$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.288783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Raptors16c15,598$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.717647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors17c10,550$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7631,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Raptors20c10,000$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.771,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Raptors14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.998827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors1c6,823$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.231,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Raptors16c6,167$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.7146131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Raptors17c5,900$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9425833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Raptors2c5,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors15c3,179$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.8640627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Raptors16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Raptors1c3,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3623237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Raptors16c2,293$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.637734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Raptors12c1,911$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5312938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Raptors17c1,700$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29328341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors1c1,507$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.655502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Raptors22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Raptors9c1,340$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8347229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors8c1,142$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.361,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors8c1,125$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.771,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors15c1,097$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Raptors16c1,024$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3429957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Raptors15c947.83$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1733348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Raptors22c938.59$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.248251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x847a…f469backed Raptors12c849.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Raptors15c800$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Pistons80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Raptors16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Raptors16c615$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.46051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Raptors17c602.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Raptors14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8445743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Raptors2c600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Raptors17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Raptors4c560.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5267911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Raptors15c519$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.162714.8%4 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Raptors18c450$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8217464.9%113 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Raptors11c449.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Raptors9c430$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Raptors12c400$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4937011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Raptors16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023555.3%130 W · 105 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Raptors16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Raptors17c266.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2811934.5%41 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Raptors16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…276fbacked Raptors16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404734%16 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Raptors17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors5c211$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked Raptors18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365726.3%15 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Raptors16c189$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2424831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ec…80e2backed Raptors17c187.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e6…46b2backed Raptors17c178.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Raptors17c168.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6971823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e1…0400backed Raptors17c163.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed Raptors16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75c…6d32backed Raptors17c137.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2c…a0a4backed Raptors22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…a18bbacked Raptors18c135.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ed…58a1backed Raptors16c128$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors18c127.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.481,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Raptors15c125.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf6…a8edbacked Raptors17c122.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Raptors13c120.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6113021.5%28 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83e…452bbacked Raptors30c119$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee9…71b9backed Pistons70c119$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…cde6backed Pistons70c119$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd79b…4299backed Raptors30c119$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb756…42adbacked Pistons70c118$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3f…86aabacked Raptors30c118$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Raptors17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207837.2%29 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c5…53c4backed Raptors17c116.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons78c113.57$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb96…55aebacked Raptors30c112$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ffd…ce8abacked Pistons70c112$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7458…48b0backed Pistons70c111$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e04…d14cbacked Pistons70c111$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238e…ee75backed Raptors29c111$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b24…589ebacked Raptors30c111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfa…8ae0backed Pistons71c111$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc34…043bbacked Raptors30c111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Raptors14c109$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2626040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Raptors15c108.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0afe…9701backed Pistons70c105$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4877…2e2abacked Raptors30c105$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e9…95c3backed Raptors30c102$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f3…0832backed Pistons70c102$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Raptors16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610129.7%30 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Raptors20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Raptors17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c92…460abacked Raptors30c98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…5883backed Pistons70c98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a59…42b7backed Raptors30c98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfafd…4e1dbacked Pistons70c98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd180…7976backed Raptors30c97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7922…8b7cbacked Pistons70c97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d0…824cbacked Pistons70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.