TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$444,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under49c318,692$156,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,158.866943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c220,035$112,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,787.931,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c70,299$33,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,743.6441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c45,368$22,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,373.581,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over51c28,500$14,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,96523351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c21,217$11,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,184.0892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over52c20,890$10,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,027.328856.8%50 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c19,835$10,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,719.1565050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c10,389$5,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,298.461,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c6,113$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.961,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over52c5,223$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.8354152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c5,223$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.831,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c4,127$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.1867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over51c3,426$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.0148850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over52c2,762$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.11,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c2,662$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.426,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c2,427$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.695,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over53c2,288$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.4461947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over51c2,087$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.8519248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.161,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over53c1,626$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.82,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over51c1,606$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.9475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over50c1,484$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.041,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c1,438$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.281,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under48c1,426$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.2236649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over50c1,402$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.9639351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over52c1,372$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.5416453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over51c1,198$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.3818553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56110157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under47c1,085$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.1612850%64 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-50.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over70c939.54$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.661,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under49c878.1$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.2789153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c827.52$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.161,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c825.32$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.911256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over49c804.67$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.381,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c776$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38841847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Over52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.64245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over52c739.05$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7528154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c717.62$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Over69c713.89$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under51c633.74$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2122753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under51c614.68$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.497750.6%39 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over51c599.97$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9825751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae4d…aedfbacked Over50c552.9$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bca…169bbacked Under51c551.91$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a08…64a7backed Over49c527.59$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.071353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f9…5f23backed Over50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3f…6023backed Under51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c472.06$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9939948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over51c465.75$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.224864.6%31 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over53c421.72$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.213850%19 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over52c413.73$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5972648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19494648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c387.28$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0240341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over52c377.78$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7613552.6%71 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over39c369.2$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6819542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c302.58$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c285.42$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.311,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…3222backed Under34c228.1$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.822941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.321,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Under12c208$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over50c203.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8522248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9712250.8%62 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9712750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.064856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Over52c187.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1411451.8%59 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over52c186.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8822450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1824950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x959b…64edbacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.183253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab0…6364backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under34c178.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0517244.2%76 W · 96 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c175$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under34c164.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.335,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over51c158$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.928352.3%148 W · 135 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c154.23$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3948339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over53c150.43$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.712449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over63c149.6$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over58c141.55$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.026,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under35c131.77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.271,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under49c127.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6349158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over64c111.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.251,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over67c109.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2115858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.449649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.448949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507339.7%29 W · 44 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4055847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under37c99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9967742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over52c98.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.511,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.552449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.515552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c93.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.730750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under36c92.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.142,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over53c91.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.25448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.093063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under38c91.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6849942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.