MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79620e2018229a0cb96aa391aa2f9a82b51c4ca8fd81f030fa51ece5843fae6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 56c | 28,793$16,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,115.87 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 22,861$10,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,765.8 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 1,893$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.99 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 44c | 1,125$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.59 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 997.17$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 981.32$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.54 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 580$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 45c | 460.05$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 44c | 414.11$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.9 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 60c | 297.68$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 56c | 269.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 238.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 46c | 212.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 200.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 37c | 183.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 44c | 170.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 61c | 160.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 152.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Under | 55c | 134.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 12c | 115.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 37c | 87.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 85.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 82.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 45c | 69.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…b593backed Under | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 37c | 58.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 64c | 55.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 55c | 50.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 46c | 44.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 46c | 41.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 37.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 33c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 37c | 34.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Over | 62c | 27.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 46c | 24.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…42d1backed Under | 55c | 21.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 56c | 17.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 69c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.