MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d82a790cb3232d72f4a7fa631ca3ed5d2b2cd0e6a3a473c6f1780192d9f117f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof New York Yankees, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed New York Yankees | 46c | 7,097$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.78 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 6,936$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 46c | 2,140$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.6 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Yankees | 46c | 1,569$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.04 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 1,500$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 1,261$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.84 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Yankees | 38c | 1,145$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 709.21$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 540$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 524.35$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 223.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 216.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 199.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 188.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 32c | 174.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 170.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 169.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed New York Yankees | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…b593backed New York Yankees | 32c | 107$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees | 47c | 100.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked New York Yankees | 45c | 89.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 69.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 55.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked New York Yankees | 31c | 46.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 43.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed New York Yankees | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 41.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed New York Yankees | 38c | 39.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed New York Yankees | 46c | 34.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 35c | 34.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 32.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 45c | 29.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 27.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed New York Yankees | 39c | 25.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 24.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 15.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.