MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad0b34e45c541dee932e5831a4d43c7a514ba182b49f5fcc0a808f30f7959d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3572…9d39backed KT Wiz | 64c | 1,425$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 1,163$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 999.95$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…8666backed KT Wiz | 71c | 799$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 75c | 564.14$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Lotte Giants | 27c | 555.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KT Wiz | 59c | 475$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed KT Wiz | 60c | 430$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.03 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 416.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 356.65$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 238.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed KT Wiz | 64c | 235.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 197.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 71c | 193.86$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked KT Wiz | 64c | 167.31$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KT Wiz | 75c | 164$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed KT Wiz | 64c | 156.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed KT Wiz | 66c | 156.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed KT Wiz | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 130.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 59c | 118.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 109.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…9d92backed KT Wiz | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…edffbacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 98.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce76…9371backed KT Wiz | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…76c6backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…9ac0backed KT Wiz | 67c | 81.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10d…b67abacked Lotte Giants | 15c | 76.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed KT Wiz | 71c | 75.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 73.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 79c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 66.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KT Wiz | 59c | 65.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Lotte Giants | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…8df8backed KT Wiz | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed KT Wiz | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed KT Wiz | 60c | 54.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed KT Wiz | 64c | 54.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 54.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked KT Wiz | 61c | 49.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed KT Wiz | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 40.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed KT Wiz | 75c | 35.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 33.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 30.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 29.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed KT Wiz | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.