Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a83081f40258b13085bd5099255b51d1a90a1c0a92b5911cb8e979e434165b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $629,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 47c | 555,186$259,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296,058.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 53c | 220,000$116,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,600 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 54c | 217,051$116,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,221.17 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 40,000$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,300 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 54c | 12,528$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 10,310$5,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.3 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 54c | 9,999$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 56c | 5,535$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.51 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 53c | 4,694$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 56c | 4,161$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.06 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 3,067$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.07 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 2,571$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 53c | 2,385$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.05 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 1,736$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.67 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 1,130$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 58c | 899.99$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 53c | 889.95$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 685.71$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 43c | 673.65$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 594.95$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.06 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 44c | 503$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 58c | 485.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 54c | 383$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 54c | 360$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 357$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 60c | 344.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 56c | 302.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 54c | 280$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 47c | 212$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 49c | 202.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 44c | 200.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Under | 55c | 195.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 70c | 186.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 71c | 168.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 44c | 151.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 54c | 149.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Over | 65c | 130.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 44c | 116.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…b369backed Over | 67c | 115.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 112.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 105.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 43c | 102$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 55c | 100.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.