Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ea0c5520dab0a68652e386dd51655a7cee25101a1b8209f53343768ea47c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 651.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 586.3$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.16 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 548.86$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.33 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 510.38$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 446.21$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 72c | 280.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Yes | 80c | 269.12$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 228.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked No | 45c | 222.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 56c | 213.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 203.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…ae21backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 60c | 167.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Yes | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Yes | 78c | 130.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 68c | 123.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 43c | 103$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 43c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 55c | 89.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 43c | 88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Yes | 58c | 68.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked No | 49c | 66.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 40c | 62.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 35c | 59.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Yes | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 55.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 56c | 49.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 67c | 42.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 57c | 40.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Yes | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Yes | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 67c | 36.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 44c | 35.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Yes | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Yes | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Yes | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Yes | 57c | 23.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b725backed Yes | 56c | 23.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Yes | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 57c | 19.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Yes | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 64c | 17.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 80c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…4d74backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.