MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe314b26173b5f614ddbb5b0989471b86deb5622c0a01f86628fa63b1725400fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $650,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $672,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 186,295$136,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,962.19 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 130,967$67,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,971.17 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed San Francisco Giants | 12c | 92,919$10,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,913.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 62,450$29,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,786.66 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 44,675$23,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,444.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 33,066$14,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,484.32 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…81eabacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 28,202$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 26,649$15,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,923.57 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 25,350$18,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,759.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 20,346$9,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,766.1 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 19,981$7,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,245.12 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 13,267$5,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,595.5 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 13,200$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.06 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 13,153$6,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,546.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 11,327$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.12 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 9,877$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ef…ed56backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 9,680$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 9,495$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,647.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 9,362$4,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537.52 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 8,380$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.34 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 6,686$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 5,248$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.3 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 4,889$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.49 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 4,620$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 3,913$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 3,821$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 3,665$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.3 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 3,644$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.45 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 3,408$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.07 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 3,072$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.82 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,787$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.11 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 2,779$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.89 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 2,758$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.69 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 2,435$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.72 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,336$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.18 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,090$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.34 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 2,048$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.23 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…e0b2backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,955$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…b163backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,887$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,786$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.38 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 1,592$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,530$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.27 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Francisco Giants | 67c | 1,501$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.93 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,428$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.4 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 1,376$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,204$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.96 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,165$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.64 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,116$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.37 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,107$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.68 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 80c | 1,087$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.8 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 1,077$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 1,034$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.92 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed San Francisco Giants | 12c | 994.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 896.64$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.23 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c695backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 689.95$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.05 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…699abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 644.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 633.32$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.18 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 596.41$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.62 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 547.31$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.44 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked San Francisco Giants | 11c | 473.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 451.56$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 444.47$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…36acbacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 434.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 429.11$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 424.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.68 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 415.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 11c | 407.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 399.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 320.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 315.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 315.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…f744backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 312.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked San Francisco Giants | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 297.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 296.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 282.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 276.51$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 273.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.83 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 270.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 253.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked San Francisco Giants | 17c | 249.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…9382backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 245.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 240.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 236.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 228.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked San Francisco Giants | 10c | 218.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.