NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7abd6d60fa8ab1335fa7d830d2ae2306f448fefc15355bc4d2a345b027d3f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Oilers, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697,525 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 54c | 215,269$115,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,384.88 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 46c | 197,534$91,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,408.33 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 46c | 140,932$64,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,828.81 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 54c | 66,268$35,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,333.63 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 46c | 50,000$22,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,999.13 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Stars | 54c | 32,700$17,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,042 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Stars | 54c | 24,284$13,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,170.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Oilers | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.98 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 54c | 15,918$8,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,331.65 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Stars | 54c | 14,815$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.87 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Oilers | 9c | 11,844$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.53 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 54c | 10,000$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.85 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Stars | 68c | 9,267$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.27 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.98 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 54c | 7,936$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.06 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Oilers | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Stars | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1e59backed Stars | 54c | 6,954$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stars | 54c | 6,580$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.91 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Oilers | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Oilers | 46c | 6,000$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.99 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oilers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Stars | 54c | 5,872$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.48 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Oilers | 5c | 5,555$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Stars | 76c | 5,054$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.7 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 47c | 4,264$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers | 47c | 4,000$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.21 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Oilers | 46c | 3,704$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.31 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Stars | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 54c | 3,500$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.5 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Oilers | 47c | 3,408$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Stars | 59c | 3,398$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Stars | 53c | 3,333$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.4 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Stars | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 13c | 3,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars | 54c | 3,000$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.69 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Oilers | 2c | 2,996$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Stars | 54c | 2,779$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.32 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 54c | 2,777$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.31 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stars | 53c | 2,604$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.18 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers | 41c | 2,451$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.03 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 44c | 2,404$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Oilers | 12c | 2,350$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.3 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Stars | 54c | 2,306$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.89 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Stars | 53c | 2,150$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Oilers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Oilers | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.85 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.73 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…10f1backed Stars | 54c | 1,977$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Stars | 54c | 1,759$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stars | 54c | 1,628$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.98 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…8b3dbacked Oilers | 5c | 1,604$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Stars | 54c | 1,520$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.2 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Oilers | 7c | 1,518$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Stars | 54c | 1,500$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.47 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Stars | 64c | 1,458$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.02 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,392$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.59 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Stars | 57c | 1,338$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.6 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5b…9edcbacked Stars | 54c | 1,332$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oilers | 42c | 1,302$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.33 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…6ae0backed Oilers | 47c | 1,285$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72f…83f4backed Oilers | 47c | 1,234$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…2eb2backed Stars | 54c | 1,192$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…c366backed Oilers | 47c | 1,170$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…db49backed Stars | 54c | 1,163$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Stars | 53c | 1,115$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.82 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3d…4239backed Stars | 54c | 1,099$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2215…33fbbacked Oilers | 47c | 1,032$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Stars | 54c | 1,016$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.17 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Stars | 55c | 1,001$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.74 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Stars | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…549fbacked Stars | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Oilers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Oilers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Stars | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 53c | 954.24$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Stars | 54c | 930$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Oilers | 46c | 929.02$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.35 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Stars | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…ea40backed Oilers | 46c | 920$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers | 7c | 902.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…2af6backed Stars | 54c | 840.59$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Stars | 53c | 811.32$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.32 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Stars | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Oilers | 47c | 800$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Stars | 75c | 797.22$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.57 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Stars | 54c | 778.52$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.52 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Oilers | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Oilers | 43c | 668$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.16 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Oilers | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Oilers | 47c | 639.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 70c | 624.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Stars | 54c | 616.67$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Starsthis page
- Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.