TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,802 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1433…56a0backed Under46c25,000$11,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,49822550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over54c24,191$13,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,127.7248545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9722443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over55c9,318$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,195.8836648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Over55c7,149$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.032536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under46c4,071$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.564240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c2,631$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.161,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c1,534$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.772,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under45c1,346$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.126647%31 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under46c1,251$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.192240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.3844551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over56c1,050$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.3627150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under45c855.03$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.763342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Over55c800.57$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.577149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed Under46c656$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c554.82$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.671,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…e31bbacked Over55c546.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.452254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under45c460.67$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6515651.3%80 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c335$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7586852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under45c296.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3112335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c281.73$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.061,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under9c270.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.613336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under45c229.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…382dbacked Over55c220.11$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.27955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.82142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8e15backed Under46c197.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed8…7b1ebacked Under46c186.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over55c181.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.849654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc633…35eabacked Under47c167$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…b37abacked Over55c163.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bff…cf8cbacked Under45c161$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa675…ad46backed Under46c160$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under45c159.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.168555.3%47 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1511258%65 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d9…170ebacked Under45c146.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under45c142.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.287746.8%36 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6876…d587backed Under45c136$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under11c117.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.222,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1477…29b6backed Under42c109.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.682860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c99.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.572,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…9da8backed Under46c97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over55c89.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.277548%36 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed Over54c89.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.071758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over67c87.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x011e…380cbacked Over55c67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c1…70a3backed Over55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over57c63.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.211,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88a5…2772backed Over55c63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c53…5688backed Over55c61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587a…87ebbacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa75f…4ef2backed Over55c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.510860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…4c76backed Over55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+108.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8597…0c0ebacked Over55c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…094dbacked Over55c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Under46c46.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.531154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over63c43.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.271,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over55c43.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.617750.6%39 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over54c43.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7727250%136 W · 136 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9867…bc76backed Over56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.643767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under46c39.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.946144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3654049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7831…9dc1backed Over55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c32.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4560741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0856…560dbacked Over55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfc…fe3cbacked Over55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.951,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over55c29.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.143253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over55c28.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8665721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over54c28.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0421754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d8…3d22backed Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Under45c24.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.928644.2%38 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over55c24.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7177…02b7backed Over55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over55c22.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedfd…367dbacked Over55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+183.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4955…e949backed Over55c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over60c20.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.213,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c98…489abacked Over55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.