MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77772330192fbaa610f4be12bb5b8434320789d76b3511770cd9bd3db8c7dfbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Cleveland Guardians, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 174,365$51,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,210.69 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 50,222$35,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,564.28 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 31,013$21,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,303.86 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 29,450$20,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,662.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 22,203$15,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660.78 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 22,085$7,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,918.56 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 20,339$15,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.82 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 17,681$12,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 15,967$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.28 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 10,523$7,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.39 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…06e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 8,611$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 6,129$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.82 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 5,354$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 4,910$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 4,890$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 3,666$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.42 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 3,371$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.53 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 3,054$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.18 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 2,834$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 2,638$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.86 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 2,580$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.19 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 2,560$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 2,448$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.23 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 2,412$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.58 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 2,021$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.93 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,921$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.71 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,893$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.03 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 1,799$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.75 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,796$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 1,771$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.72 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 1,553$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.76 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,543$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.69 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 1,502$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.42 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 1,482$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.48 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 1,469$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.01 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,413$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 1,376$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.94 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…0c02backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 1,322$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,218$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.41 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 1,111$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.19 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 1,095$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…d6e6backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,093$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 1,066$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 1,032$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 999.62$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 994.2$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.47 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 985.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 985$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 983.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.31 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 982.93$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.37 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 900.87$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.31 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…335bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 899.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 888.85$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.15 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 871$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 865.17$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.27 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 861.61$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 802.48$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 801.86$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 786.08$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…7818backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 710.35$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 691.45$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 657.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 604.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 589.56$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 588.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 545.87$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 529.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 488.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 470$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 466.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 458.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 448.43$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 443.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 432.61$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 423.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 417.61$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.11 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 415$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 400.9$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 395.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 394.41$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 391.73$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 380.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 372.92$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 372.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 348.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 328.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 322.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 315.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 295.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 291.46$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 289.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 286.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.