MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed0a2aeed4afb15cc5b87c65e8f8258f1d103157931c90d1d178d752078e32f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 22,257$10,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,634.17 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 15,157$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,053.98 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 10,580$5,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 4,575$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.13 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 4,444$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.68 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 3,200$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 2,884$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 1,971$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.87 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 1,409$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.95 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 910.87$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.22 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 765.31$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 731.98$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.71 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 665.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 599.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 589.76$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 536.22$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.67 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 481.82$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 393.03$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 372.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.93 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 343.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 245.71$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 212.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 174.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 144.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 141$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 111.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 90.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 79.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 77.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 73.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 70.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 64.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcab7…1ae5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 55.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…6831backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 36.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 34.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 32.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 30.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 27.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 27.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…128bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 26.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 23.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 21.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.