Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478dca3f4dcd29187b143fd5aaa1d1d312c8d577fe2226512a920b6c162ce447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof Sam Houston Bearkats, New Mexico Lobos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 12,082$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.66 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 4,548$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.18 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 2,852$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.72 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 5c | 1,737$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 1,200$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 1,010$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 10c | 964.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 814.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 16c | 752.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 636.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 3c | 606.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 577.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 464.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 462.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 391.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 15c | 299.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 299.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 278.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 15c | 223.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 5c | 210.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 191.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 191.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 181.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 9c | 168.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 15c | 133.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa35…2a55backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 132$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…3224backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 15c | 126.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 119.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2963…046bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 17c | 108.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 99.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 13c | 99.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd9…736bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 15c | 66.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobosthis page
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 162.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 163.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 164.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 165.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-12.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-17.5)New Mexico Lobos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.