Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a6e21224d2f363d3d7ea19bc8a522c0ecfcc1fb6a3d2ac8ff203d3d74cc81a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof New Mexico Lobos, Sam Houston Bearkats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,188 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 14,990$6,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,791.34 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 10,214$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.7 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico Lobos | 54c | 3,170$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New Mexico Lobos | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.99 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 2,433$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.18 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 2,085$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 51c | 1,947$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New Mexico Lobos | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 48c | 1,492$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.96 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 49c | 1,182$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.01 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 53c | 991.28$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 46c | 843.48$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New Mexico Lobos | 55c | 699.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 46c | 569.51$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.97 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 463.52$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 394.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 320.57$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed New Mexico Lobos | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 308.42$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed New Mexico Lobos | 51c | 273.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 221.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 46c | 210.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 206.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New Mexico Lobos | 55c | 204.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 195.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 175.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 120.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed New Mexico Lobos | 50c | 114.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed New Mexico Lobos | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico Lobos | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 50c | 73.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 70.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 56.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked New Mexico Lobos | 57c | 52.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 51c | 48.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 56c | 48.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 47.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 48c | 43.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed New Mexico Lobos | 51c | 38.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed New Mexico Lobos | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 35.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 48c | 32.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 24.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 48c | 24.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Mexico Lobos | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 49c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 22.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)this page
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico LobosNew Mexico Lobos won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 162.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 163.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 164.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 165.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-12.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-17.5)New Mexico Lobos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.