Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Manhattan Jaspers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717d2f44ed7f1f488143e0e159852c69021345f2df75bd0135a035278718049d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Peter's Peacocksof Saint Peter's Peacocks, Manhattan Jaspers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x241d…0dd6backed Manhattan Jaspers | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…4d33backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 65c | 595$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manhattan Jaspers | 15c | 407.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Manhattan Jaspers | 35c | 349.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 20c | 309.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 67c | 297.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Manhattan Jaspers | 35c | 294$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 37c | 175.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 101.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Manhattan Jaspers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…ced6backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 78c | 97.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 32c | 81.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 67c | 58.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Manhattan Jaspers | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 75c | 48.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Manhattan Jaspers | 36c | 37.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Manhattan Jaspers | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Manhattan Jaspers | 33c | 31.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 65c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 67c | 19.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 77c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Manhattan Jaspersthis page
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-4.5)Saint Peter's Peacocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.