South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf567339ed297d9bf94adecdad10a235b01dd21dd5496a11b047bf6fbd1be25fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 72c | 2,593$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.8 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,944$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 1,485$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.68 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,359$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 661.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.8 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 35c | 489.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 432.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 70c | 354.19$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 249.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 15c | 202.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 27c | 185.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 67c | 184.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 178.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 165.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 51c | 149$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 47c | 134$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…0eaabacked Yes | 32c | 129.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 46c | 126$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Yes | 28c | 119$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 28c | 111.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed No | 37c | 108.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 71.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 31c | 66.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 35c | 53.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Yes | 31c | 46.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked No | 74c | 26.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.