South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x794db2223910571d97e484a2ce5f161a6bedc2a4ae42241f7fdd47e1771d39c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 9,631$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 6,657$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.14 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 40c | 5,419$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.79 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Yes | 36c | 4,239$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 65c | 4,042$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.67 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 45c | 3,519$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.7 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 2,121$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 65c | 1,461$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.32 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 33c | 672$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…19c9backed Yes | 63c | 559.46$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…d09ebacked Yes | 9c | 378$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 365$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 35c | 346.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 323.39$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69e…12f5backed Yes | 8c | 305$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed No | 66c | 303.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 279.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 56c | 273.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 216.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 190.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 177$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 161.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 64c | 156.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 33c | 136.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 65c | 133.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 39c | 131.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 46c | 108.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 100.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Yes | 62c | 89.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 35c | 89.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 47c | 85.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 66c | 77.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 70.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked No | 68c | 64.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked No | 38c | 54.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 43c | 51.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 35c | 51.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 64c | 42.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked No | 75c | 39.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 37.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 54c | 36.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked No | 46c | 35.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked No | 65c | 31.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 51c | 27.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 46c | 25.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Yes | 47c | 23.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 66c | 23.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…2570backed No | 66c | 19.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Yes | 66c | 15.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.