TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Invictus Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Weibo Gaming38c3,536$1,344 inWon+$2,192.2117839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Invictus Gaming62c3,536$2,192 inLost-$2,192.2126246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Weibo Gaming41c2,059$853 inWon+$1,206.0521939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Invictus Gaming65c1,542$1,000 inLost-$1,0008047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Weibo Gaming35c1,351$473 inWon+$878.4624529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Invictus Gaming60c840$504 inLost-$50414038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Invictus Gaming56c644.31$361 inLost-$360.8178050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Weibo Gaming40c342.76$137 inWon+$205.7643640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Invictus Gaming60c340$204 inLost-$20444335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Invictus Gaming60c332.38$199 inLost-$199.431,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e2…da93backed Invictus Gaming58c200$116 inLost-$1161414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Weibo Gaming36c100$36 inWon+$6430139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Weibo Gaming35c80$28 inWon+$521,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c30…d531backed Weibo Gaming43c76.74$33 inWon+$43.7413951.8%72 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Invictus Gaming57c68.8$39 inLost-$39.221,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed Invictus Gaming65c52.5$34 inLost-$3438034.7%132 W · 248 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Weibo Gaming40c30.6$12 inWon+$18.361,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Invictus Gaming60c17.75$11 inLost-$10.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.