Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson Hatters vs. Bellarmine Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f6fb5330661ed18fb22cc08b89b308d7c42a18afc82668a7009087bfe9f50d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bellarmine Knightsof Stetson Hatters, Bellarmine Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stetson Hatters | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stetson Hatters | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Bellarmine Knights | 66c | 1,359$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.23 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bellarmine Knights | 63c | 1,212$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.58 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Stetson Hatters | 38c | 924.01$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.39 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bellarmine Knights | 72c | 691.16$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Bellarmine Knights | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stetson Hatters | 13c | 285.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stetson Hatters | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Stetson Hatters | 23c | 246.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stetson Hatters | 34c | 242.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stetson Hatters | 35c | 219.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 65c | 184.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Stetson Hatters | 27c | 163.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stetson Hatters | 34c | 154.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Bellarmine Knights | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 78c | 136.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bellarmine Knights | 72c | 114.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…ced6backed Bellarmine Knights | 69c | 95.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stetson Hatters | 35c | 90.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bellarmine Knights | 72c | 86.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 65c | 83.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bellarmine Knights | 69c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 79c | 73.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stetson Hatters | 35c | 50.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Stetson Hatters | 35c | 47.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Stetson Hatters | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Bellarmine Knights | 68c | 23.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Bellarmine Knights | 60c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Bellarmine Knights | 64c | 17.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stetson Hatters vs. Bellarmine Knightsthis page
- Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-3.5)Bellarmine Knights won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.