Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aaa5796589e9ae0aa0ea9703e828f3d6a49e09c137591d9b30ba865ba3200d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Kentucky Colonelsof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, Eastern Kentucky Colonels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 48c | 35,577$17,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,066.69 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 29,411$15,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,098 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 15c | 4,972$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.85 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 49c | 2,209$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.33 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 2,204$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.4 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 53c | 1,328$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 8c | 1,307$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.65 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 1,277$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.79 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 46c | 1,173$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.66 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.67 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 3c | 540$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 534$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.76 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 57c | 492.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.18 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 399.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.39 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 39c | 349$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 26c | 300.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.14 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 46c | 289.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 262$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 56c | 247.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 55c | 245.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 42c | 238.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 40c | 230.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 220.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 215.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 185.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 178.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 33c | 147.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 48c | 126.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 119$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 45c | 118.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 43c | 113.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 91.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 61c | 90.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 32c | 90.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 53c | 89.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 51c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 86.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 43c | 65.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 31c | 60.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…0733backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 66c | 60.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 70c | 56.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 56.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 46c | 52.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 57c | 51.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 46.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 68c | 43.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…ced6backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 42.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 38c | 38.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 53c | 37.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 46c | 27.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 26.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 52c | 26.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 51c | 25.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…abb4backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 21.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 56c | 18.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsthis page
- Spread: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (-1.5)Eastern Kentucky Colonels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.