TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof MOUZ, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ33c31,016$10,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,235.2142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality67c20,000$13,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ46c8,205$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,747.7381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality67c6,702$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.5746949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Vitality54c5,259$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.122060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ38c4,806$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.062,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked MOUZ36c4,589$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.923737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ0c3,686$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Vitality62c3,251$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.0310047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked MOUZ43c2,819$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.3459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vitality77c2,607$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.9644957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Vitality58c2,580$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.6510753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ47c2,561$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.6126046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4813…f7abbacked MOUZ35c2,460$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.86742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e22…67b6backed Vitality67c2,106$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed MOUZ17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ33c1,885$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.410335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Vitality55c1,742$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.926253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Vitality67c1,681$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.51,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Vitality74c1,568$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.4121251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed Vitality63c1,541$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.437054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9914847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Vitality65c1,481$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.9861228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Vitality66c1,460$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.413242.4%56 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Vitality55c1,266$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.5655043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…5191backed Vitality62c1,214$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.852763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Vitality66c1,212$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.1215162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed MOUZ47c1,114$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.4495849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ42c1,110$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.333,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Vitality66c1,011$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitality65c1,004$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.311,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ39c1,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.451,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Vitality54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8155…5377backed Vitality67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304168.3%28 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ40c997.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.862,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Vitality63c969.12$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5711046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed MOUZ34c928.69$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0415641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Vitality55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0915970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked MOUZ17c903.35$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7222927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Vitality56c887.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.2516947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Vitality53c875.85$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.2524944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0290…e1bcbacked Vitality66c778.26$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.073574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcff4…3609backed MOUZ18c730.06$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.491546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ51c700$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.8958961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ36c700$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.795,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ53c599.97$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9839851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ25c552$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.966,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf291…6d59backed Vitality60c544.12$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ35c540.82$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.93,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ35c534.19$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.454,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed MOUZ46c508.6$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23639237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked MOUZ48c506.65$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.199941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked MOUZ19c421.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8052834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf475…f2debacked MOUZ24c411.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.182532%8 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Vitality49c411.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.194045%18 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vitality67c410.66$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.93,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ31c406.76$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Vitality60c374.53$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6331654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Vitality71c353.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.382,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Vitality59c340$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.427735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…7df7backed Vitality65c335.67$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.322941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9390…6a88backed MOUZ36c327.78$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Vitality66c315.17$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1616853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked MOUZ9c311.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.03319.7%3 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-72.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Vitality65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.698537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Vitality66c303.89$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3824249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Vitality65c300$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10429558.6%173 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Vitality61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11736837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Vitality80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6017548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed MOUZ24c299.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Vitality53c299.88$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9431444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Vitality76c292.29$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2319355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed Vitality54c278.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.537546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed MOUZ10c268.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.27828.2%22 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+113.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8668…cbc7backed Vitality73c230$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.11776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed MOUZ36c229.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.392532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality68c224.24$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.824,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Vitality65c217.69$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1937850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Vitality73c209.09$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1812955%71 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed MOUZ50c200.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed MOUZ7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Vitality50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed Vitality54c192.56$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5519732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5614…b9fbbacked MOUZ11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b8…21e8backed Vitality60c173.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.374261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Vitality52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.67149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed MOUZ35c169.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3417949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Vitality54c161.91$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.881,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e2…da93backed MOUZ36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5450%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vitality59c147$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9160147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vitality59c140.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.141,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ36c139.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf12d…7350backed Vitality59c116$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.763647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked MOUZ43c115.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ44c113.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked MOUZ34c107.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4614355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.