TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Merrimack College Warriors vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Merrimack College Warriorsof Merrimack College Warriors, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a7a…15a4backed Merrimack College Warriors56c7,360$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.4835151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers46c3,872$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.9744549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers41c2,655$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.2312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers46c2,473$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.581,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Merrimack College Warriors56c2,239$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.2789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c1,661$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.785,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Merrimack College Warriors62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked Merrimack College Warriors57c1,314$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.999851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c1,023$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Merrimack College Warriors62c771.5$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.21,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Merrimack College Warriors65c700$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.916350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers41c645$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Merrimack College Warriors52c605.92$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.681,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers36c599.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.951,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers38c540$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.21,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers43c510$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2511347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Merrimack College Warriors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.61,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c477.27$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers38c437.5$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8197447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers36c384.53$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.214,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Merrimack College Warriors69c381.62$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers43c378$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5412846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Merrimack College Warriors64c364$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.092,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers47c351.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Merrimack College Warriors62c330$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2422050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers37c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Merrimack College Warriors64c310.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6348462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers25c285.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.961,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers26c263.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.791,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors67c255.86$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.393,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers10c238.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4113651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers29c225$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.162,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers40c223.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.681,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers39c220$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6814553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers41c206.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.12,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Merrimack College Warriors49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0845351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers38c191.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6921646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Merrimack College Warriors55c176.87$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5989850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Merrimack College Warriors55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Merrimack College Warriors75c173.08$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.412,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers38c163.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers41c156.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.055,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Merrimack College Warriors53c141.8$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9936845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers35c127.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.861,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Merrimack College Warriors54c108.59$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.72030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers41c103.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.551,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c100.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.420234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Merrimack College Warriors56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4427048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Merrimack College Warriors57c99.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.923,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Merrimack College Warriors71c99.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.621,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers36c97.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.873,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Merrimack College Warriors72c96.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Merrimack College Warriors63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.244858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e2…da93backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b2…ced6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers33c71.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.872055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Merrimack College Warriors58c69.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3732652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers41c55.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6617241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Merrimack College Warriors64c54.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.618350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Merrimack College Warriors63c53.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked Merrimack College Warriors63c52.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.331172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+56.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers41c50.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.744427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers38c47.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8962451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3bf…5004backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers37c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d8…2374backed Merrimack College Warriors53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Merrimack College Warriors62c39.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.376459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Merrimack College Warriors63c39.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4435650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers37c39.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4437835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers50c36.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.491,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers40c35.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.494,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Merrimack College Warriors63c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.610252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Merrimack College Warriors64c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8825152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Merrimack College Warriors63c30.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9130945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Merrimack College Warriors55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers46c28.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a5f…a8a0backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ed…86ddbacked Merrimack College Warriors64c26.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.563043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Merrimack College Warriors73c23.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.242948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Merrimack College Warriors57c20.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9416140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3257655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.