Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d072e2d2e64296a95b2b6fec87e9e6a2a66ff1cbd0dca0c03a59e4bdbe1d39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Merrimack College Warriors, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 54c | 1,125$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 870.5$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.48 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 672.02$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Merrimack College Warriors | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Merrimack College Warriors | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-3.5)this page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Mount St. Mary's MountaineersMerrimack College Warriors won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 132.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.