TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Wagner Seahawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, Wagner Seahawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Wagner Seahawks40c146,772$58,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,031.6389645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c100,039$60,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,515.2130249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c4,864$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.9318548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c4,391$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.5490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c4,000$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils53c2,771$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.531,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c2,769$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.032,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c2,123$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.093,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c2,025$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.6689850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c2,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Wagner Seahawks49c1,864$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.132055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks37c1,827$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.055,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c1,300$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5152,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils57c1,016$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.261,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c809.16$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils59c749$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0991848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils50c728.76$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.7946446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22c…9c02backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils49c662.79$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.021957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa918…8d4bbacked Wagner Seahawks51c609.8$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils55c396.92$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.239545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Wagner Seahawks42c347.15$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c342$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.048055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Wagner Seahawks32c270.88$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Wagner Seahawks21c263.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Wagner Seahawks50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11575447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Wagner Seahawks49c204.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Wagner Seahawks47c197$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils74c189.35$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils58c182.55$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6713444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c177.45$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.582,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils50c166.13$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.371,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Wagner Seahawks54c158.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils58c157$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.614,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils51c148$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.523,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd682…1ae2backed Wagner Seahawks10c146.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Wagner Seahawks49c141.47$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.323627.8%10 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils59c102.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.132839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Wagner Seahawks41c100.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.074040%16 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Wagner Seahawks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Wagner Seahawks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils56c98.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.314,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2736942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Wagner Seahawks50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.522552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Wagner Seahawks23c73.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.778350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c65.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5153646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2274649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Wagner Seahawks49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.259353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x583b…9249backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c39.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.545952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Wagner Seahawks38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Wagner Seahawks44c39.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2758345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils50c36.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wagner Seahawks34c33.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.241,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Wagner Seahawks38c30.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7621535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d8…2374backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils65c23.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils54c21.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.95549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils58c20.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.642,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils58c18.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.982,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c17.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6525152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.