Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8e849e4618918eb4c39278de629095d924fe05619f7b252ea1d1a1ee1b3efc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof Miami Hurricanes, Virginia Tech Hokies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 30,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,799.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 24,219$12,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,024.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 11,434$5,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,373.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 10,951$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.19 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 10,826$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,521.07 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 7,455$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.82 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 3,980$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 2,887$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 2,778$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.13 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 2,114$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.57 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 2,016$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.98 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 1,722$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.95 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 1,475$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes | 36c | 1,101$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 770.03$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.31 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 765.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 461.7$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 79c | 420$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Miami Hurricanes | 36c | 383.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 54c | 355.58$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 245.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 54c | 201.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Miami Hurricanes | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 153.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 68c | 146.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 119.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 111.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 107.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Miami Hurricanes | 19c | 95.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 54c | 67.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…857fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Miami Hurricanes | 68c | 40.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 38.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 33.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 59c | 30.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…7e8abacked Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 53c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 148.5Under won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.