Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0fa298421c150853d2553190fb1adc767e81dfb030b98e3b08ffeabceffe76d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof Miami Hurricanes, Virginia Tech Hokies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 48,280$26,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,554.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 30,278$13,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,652.98 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 13,338$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,335.9 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 11,830$6,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,506.5 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 8,644$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.36 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 8,189$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 7,075$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 6,405$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 46c | 1,080$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 915$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 819.4$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.67 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 629.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 56c | 556.8$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Miami Hurricanes | 27c | 543.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 79c | 212$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 159.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…9b52backed Miami Hurricanes | 17c | 95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 59c | 60.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Miami Hurricanes | 23c | 51.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 50.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 28.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 44c | 26.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 46c | 24.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 69c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-8.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 148.5Under won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.