Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac620b9fdc3b7e569ab0f900378956258587b474e4c6bd7335de4b4901ee0ef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 30,703$15,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,044.48 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 56c | 30,000$16,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,202.12 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 28,555$12,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,529.05 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 18,059$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.61 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 7,314$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 5,793$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 57c | 2,884$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.15 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.09 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 34c | 1,440$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.9 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 49c | 1,431$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 49c | 996.1$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.01 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 845.63$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 690.27$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.31 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 27c | 549.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 57c | 442.43$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 17c | 413$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 45c | 378.49$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Over | 44c | 350.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 14c | 290.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 77c | 207.81$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 49c | 195.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Over | 19c | 157.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…19f9backed Over | 55c | 153.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 42c | 139.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 114.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Over | 45c | 111.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 57c | 87.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…254dbacked Under | 78c | 84.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 52c | 75.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 57c | 59.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 53.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 29c | 53.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 49c | 50.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 52c | 37.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 49c | 26.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed Under | 52c | 21.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 65c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 150.5this page
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-8.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.