Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70495389cbbbbf8564ffc11b06f89fca42d55c3fde42e81b1326305bd52cff10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof North Carolina State Wolfpack, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 6,495$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 5,057$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.14 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 4,036$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.24 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 2,174$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.26 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 58c | 1,838$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 1,358$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.84 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 1,252$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.27 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 1,064$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.52 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 22c | 658.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 472.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.45 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 311.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 283.36$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 18c | 215$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 210.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 149.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 57c | 144.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 64c | 133.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 80c | 115.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 102.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 25c | 79.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 76.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…9cbdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 55.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 54.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2af…4e5bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 49.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 54c | 35.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…834ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-7.5)this page
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State WolfpackNorth Carolina State Wolfpack won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 155.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 156.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 157.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-5.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.