Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62077afdf7c507db5dfe35f3f036d7b8684c8c22bc9a4a73dd80f89988bd320f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof North Carolina State Wolfpack, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x313d…4b1abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 1,955$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 1,554$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 745.36$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.32 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 689$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.11 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 47c | 686.67$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 53c | 566.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 554.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 535$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.45 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 500$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 374$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 314.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 58c | 260$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 233.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 229.63$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 194.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 63c | 190.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 187.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 182.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 90.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 90.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 55.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 55.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 46.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 58c | 44.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 41c | 44.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 44.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 40.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 39.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 36.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 57c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 24.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa027…f2d6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 58c | 21.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)this page
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State WolfpackNorth Carolina State Wolfpack won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 155.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 156.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 157.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-5.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-7.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.