Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bfb4ed0ae5c7b857d5052ee7a785952597f96ad0bc7ab650fec419e79420468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perricardof Basilashvili, Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Perricard | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Basilashvili | 38c | 6,362$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Basilashvili | 42c | 4,918$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.63 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Perricard | 78c | 4,762$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.57 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Basilashvili | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Perricard | 70c | 1,015$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Perricard | 59c | 934$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Perricard | 63c | 721.87$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.09 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Basilashvili | 38c | 692.6$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Basilashvili | 38c | 628.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Basilashvili | 38c | 406$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Basilashvili | 36c | 381.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Basilashvili | 41c | 366.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Basilashvili | 37c | 335.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Basilashvili | 5c | 325$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Perricard | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Basilashvili | 38c | 294.09$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Basilashvili | 35c | 279.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Perricard | 62c | 263$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Perricard | 61c | 254.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Basilashvili | 38c | 234.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Perricard | 65c | 200.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Perricard | 62c | 193.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Perricard | 68c | 177.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Perricard | 61c | 163.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Perricard | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Perricard | 63c | 158.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Perricard | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Perricard | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Perricard | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Perricard | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Basilashvili | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Perricard | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Perricard | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Perricard | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Perricard | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Perricard | 62c | 66.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Basilashvili | 36c | 64.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Basilashvili | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Basilashvili | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Perricard | 63c | 46.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Basilashvili | 37c | 38.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Perricard | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Basilashvili | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Perricard | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…c56cbacked Perricard | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Perricard | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Perricard | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Perricard | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…fcc9backed Perricard | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.