Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Federico Cina vs Damir Dzumhur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x557422e655acc4ce8dc52c77d868392787f8ea9a36e3269437b6fae3a993b6a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dzumhurof Cina, Dzumhur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cina | 37c | 2,726$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeab…91fcbacked Cina | 50c | 2,520$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Dzumhur | 49c | 1,816$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.07 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Dzumhur | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…8121backed Dzumhur | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dzumhur | 60c | 716.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dzumhur | 59c | 713$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cina | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Cina | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Cina | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Dzumhur | 56c | 426.3$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cina | 50c | 384.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cina | 25c | 361.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dzumhur | 68c | 330$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Dzumhur | 68c | 319.65$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Dzumhur | 65c | 313$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Dzumhur | 71c | 282.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dzumhur | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cina | 37c | 228.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cina | 37c | 154.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed Cina | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Cina | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cina | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Dzumhur | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…c56cbacked Dzumhur | 60c | 64.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cina | 38c | 52.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Dzumhur | 61c | 36.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed Dzumhur | 64c | 34.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.