Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf736fd4f8a10de4103782fa4f94e3c9378095056d1295a822cdf98187f91637

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $133,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $77,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,848 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	2c	9,718$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.07	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-86.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a19…0762backed Yes	31c	9,152$2,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,831.79	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff30…4a37backed Yes	3c	4,870$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.53	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	16c	4,349$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.31	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7177…ddefbacked No	79c	3,616$2,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.61	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x387c…9188backed Yes	33c	3,442$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	77c	3,125$2,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$717.57	199	57.3%114 W · 85 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	16c	2,652$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.23	98	22.4%22 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe928…8b98backed Yes	2c	2,498$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	12c	2,414$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.31	371	17.8%66 W · 305 L	-18.9wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed Yes	2c	1,954$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.66	196	23%45 W · 151 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf85f…9800backed Yes	20c	1,820$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.6	50	46%23 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…ce77backed Yes	10c	1,780$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.62	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4b…d761backed Yes	6c	1,668$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.74	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72c…653ebacked Yes	6c	1,351$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-5.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73dc…8d32backed No	74c	1,192$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.17	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d09…e998backed Yes	21c	1,173$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d83…4888backed Yes	16c	1,167$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	27cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes	14c	1,096$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	110	17.3%19 W · 91 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb76c…992fbacked Yes	24c	1,022$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	36cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd71a…78c9backed Yes	14c	1,004$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes	26c	949.15$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	77c	935.53$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.27	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes	17c	887.19$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.76	185	30.3%56 W · 129 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c19…17febacked Yes	9c	872.31$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f7c…2b74backed Yes	25c	793.52$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	25c	766.66$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.01	160	29.4%47 W · 113 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	763.16$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes	2c	701.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes	16c	698.4$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.72	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc92c…daa7backed Yes	29c	686.85$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes	18c	635.8$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.87	142	40.8%58 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b62…ad6cbacked No	72c	556.06$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.06	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	22c	527.91$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.06	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9404…bfc2backed Yes	23c	464.01$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99ef…2dadbacked Yes	24c	440.2$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.78	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc973…05d9backed Yes	24c	415.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.8	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b6…9344backed Yes	24c	411.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	76c	392.28$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.7	367	42.5%156 W · 211 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…7701backed Yes	17c	371.74$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.15	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x210c…2edabacked No	77c	317.49$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.55	50	72%36 W · 14 L	+6.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10a6…6638backed Yes	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes	18c	299.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	146	32.2%47 W · 99 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	16c	298.43$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01cd…c56cbacked Yes	23c	266.59$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-43%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05fc…f78ebacked Yes	15c	263$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2711…163bbacked Yes	39c	255.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x949e…b13abacked Yes	43c	233.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb602…32dfbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8212…8ad8backed Yes	24c	206.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.93	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…6f48backed Yes	11c	206$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	16c	204.64$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.67	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdf7…65d9backed No	80c	200$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98a8…59b0backed Yes	24c	199.47$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf38e…dc47backed Yes	23c	160.92$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	19c	128.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.87	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x249c…2783backed Yes	17c	119.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	23c	117.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.57	449	21.2%95 W · 354 L	-21.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ca0…45f0backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	9c	116$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf955…e17ebacked Yes	18c	114.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88c…991ebacked Yes	19c	104.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x213e…8f37backed Yes	24c	102.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.59	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	17cpaid	+87.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	19c	100.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+75%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdbd…81c2backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2266…21a5backed Yes	20c	99.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3d8f…75e6backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81bb…a17ebacked Yes	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.19per pick	20cpaid	+115.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6600…e4f1backed Yes	22c	92.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…8d6bbacked Yes	23c	86.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	13c	83.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	139	18%25 W · 114 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e3…78acbacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…6e71backed Yes	17c	81.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…bbb0backed Yes	28c	80.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes	16c	78.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+6.8wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	60c	77.54$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.01	166	16.9%28 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec76…f9f1backed No	79c	77.53$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.48	51	74.5%38 W · 13 L	+6.8wins	+0.13per pick	61cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes	17c	75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes	29c	69.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes	36c	65.68$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.64	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Yes	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…2198backed Yes	20c	59.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x297a…92e0backed Yes	26c	44.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	25c	42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55da…839abacked No	79c	35$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.35	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.83	314	43.9%138 W · 176 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed No	79c	15.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.21	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?this page
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 10–15%?No won
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 15–20%?No won
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 20% or more?No won
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?No won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?No won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?No won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 15–20%?No won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?No won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Yes won
Will another candidate win Bolivian Election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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