Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x317985bee8a67a877c3934528653654d66ede3687d942f53af27c1ebe3a535a2

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $351,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $269,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,206 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x387c…9188backed Yes	1c	19,899$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.55	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8733…a6f0backed Yes	1c	12,602$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.83	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9e…be96backed Yes	1c	12,210$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf9…cdc6backed Yes	2c	12,208$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.91	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d65…16d4backed Yes	1c	11,844$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	10,713$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.33	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7da…c95bbacked Yes	1c	6,950$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a19…0762backed Yes	21c	6,235$1,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,283.34	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes	1c	5,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.73	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce7…0832backed Yes	2c	4,971$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	12c	3,688$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.83	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0a…9104backed Yes	1c	3,654$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	1c	3,278$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.65	98	22.4%22 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1886…d87fbacked Yes	1c	2,477$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed Yes	13c	2,451$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.01	196	23%45 W · 151 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4040…8804backed Yes	2c	2,289$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.95	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	8cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	6c	2,249$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.74	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	2,228$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.57	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	16c	2,198$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.15	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f1…b5ddbacked Yes	1c	2,090$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7373…7701backed Yes	5c	2,085$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.25	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes	1c	2,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca71…ca25backed Yes	3c	1,674$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.12	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b62…ad6cbacked Yes	21c	1,650$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes	15c	1,626$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	2c	1,616$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf356…3effbacked Yes	1c	1,466$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9e…ce77backed Yes	6c	1,462$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.37	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…76babacked Yes	4c	1,246$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72c…653ebacked Yes	7c	1,223$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.93	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-5.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	22c	1,216$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.16	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c19…17febacked Yes	12c	1,000$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.8	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	19c	911.26$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.71	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed6…6a8dbacked Yes	25c	805.11$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23a8…8004backed Yes	3c	800$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.68	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca0…45f0backed Yes	15c	677.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes	2c	638.89$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes	14c	615.29$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.19	142	40.8%58 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	11c	596.56$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	76c	580.46$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.99	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2df5…51acbacked Yes	2c	556.73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	19c	548.07$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.42	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	14c	500$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.4	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…6638backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked Yes	17c	499.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	74	23%17 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8f…75e6backed Yes	15c	470.07$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3784…72fbbacked Yes	23c	441.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc92c…daa7backed Yes	23c	430.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b6…9344backed Yes	24c	420.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	10c	420$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	10c	420$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x741d…e35cbacked Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc973…05d9backed Yes	25c	312.17$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.73	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	16c	300$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-86.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	146	32.2%47 W · 99 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e2c…f50ebacked Yes	20c	288.93$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ff…e005backed Yes	19c	266.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	35cpaid	+71%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	16c	264.34$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	17c	250.56$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.07	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0104…530ebacked Yes	21c	234.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+64.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…e991backed Yes	23c	226.6$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.57	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6875…7023backed Yes	23c	217.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes	13c	203.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.02	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	21c	193.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d5…709bbacked Yes	26c	192.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes	12c	182$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	315	34%107 W · 208 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f3…6865backed Yes	22c	149.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.39	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+98.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62eb…5ac1backed Yes	14c	140.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	16c	138.36$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.65	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5907…7d92backed Yes	23c	132.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2266…21a5backed Yes	18c	126.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0aba…5642backed Yes	9c	122.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	33cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a9f…c209backed Yes	27c	120$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.77	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x213e…8f37backed Yes	24c	117.94$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	17cpaid	+87.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6600…e4f1backed Yes	27c	110.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Yes	19c	109.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Yes	16c	105.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cb…658ebacked Yes	19c	103$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Yes	24c	102.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b52…70b9backed Yes	15c	100.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	26cpaid	+193.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x678d…bce9backed Yes	19c	100.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e38…8e4bbacked Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775c…79eebacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	114	35.1%40 W · 74 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6998…9ff2backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	30cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3cc…65c7backed Yes	21c	99.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e75…a4f3backed Yes	22c	99.71$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	17cpaid	+93.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e3…78acbacked Yes	20c	99.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd898…aaf1backed Yes	26c	84$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c65…d11bbacked Yes	24c	82.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4075…36fdbacked Yes	31c	79.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes	19c	59.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x341f…0d24backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f6e…a10bbacked No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	60c	19.83$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.93	166	16.9%28 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?this page
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?No won
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 10–15%?No won
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 15–20%?No won
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 20% or more?No won
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?No won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?No won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 15–20%?No won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?No won
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Yes won
Will another candidate win Bolivian Election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event