Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Marcos Giron vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e81544a28da49a1350383db02eb6a7361f8077b6ee29bf90e5bf54150ddf3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokinaof Giron, Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fokina | 64c | 38,043$24,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,754.87 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Giron | 40c | 29,342$11,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,617.84 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giron | 37c | 27,916$10,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,233.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Fokina | 62c | 9,740$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.37 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Fokina | 60c | 8,379$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.35 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giron | 46c | 6,673$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fokina | 54c | 6,635$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.95 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fokina | 45c | 4,331$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fokina | 60c | 3,371$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.3 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Giron | 51c | 3,310$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.51 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Giron | 39c | 2,956$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.84 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Giron | 55c | 2,872$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.7 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Fokina | 53c | 2,083$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Fokina | 30c | 1,891$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Fokina | 50c | 1,728$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.82 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Giron | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.96 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Giron | 37c | 1,204$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.54 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fokina | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Giron | 45c | 1,187$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Giron | 70c | 1,000$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.85 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Fokina | 29c | 831.03$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fokina | 53c | 786$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.06 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Fokina | 64c | 782.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Fokina | 31c | 746.05$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giron | 38c | 692.98$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.33 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Fokina | 37c | 634.86$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.35 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fokina | 52c | 607.9$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.31 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Giron | 41c | 549.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…0b43backed Giron | 41c | 548.78$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fokina | 61c | 451.25$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Fokina | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Fokina | 43c | 368.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Giron | 58c | 357.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Fokina | 54c | 355.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giron | 26c | 339.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Giron | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Fokina | 68c | 287$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…c0d5backed Fokina | 59c | 279.73$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Fokina | 63c | 257.13$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Fokina | 61c | 247.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Giron | 46c | 237.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -11.1wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Giron | 36c | 234.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Fokina | 63c | 216.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Fokina | 59c | 203.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Fokina | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Fokina | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Fokina | 62c | 191.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Fokina | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fokina | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Fokina | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Fokina | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Fokina | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…be0fbacked Fokina | 59c | 147.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Fokina | 51c | 144.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Fokina | 58c | 144.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Fokina | 63c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Fokina | 62c | 111.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fokina | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed Fokina | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Fokina | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Fokina | 60c | 99.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Giron | 41c | 72.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Fokina | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Fokina | 43c | 58.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…a034backed Giron | 25c | 56.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Fokina | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Giron | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Giron | 64c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Giron | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Giron | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Fokina | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…c56cbacked Fokina | 77c | 38.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Giron | 41c | 36.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Fokina | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Fokina | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Fokina | 61c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Giron | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Fokina | 65c | 18.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.