TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rinderknechof Marozsan, Rinderknech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Rinderknech57c50,127$28,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,597.037857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Marozsan43c39,926$17,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,212.6310845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Marozsan42c19,675$8,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,31815832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Marozsan38c13,220$4,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,968.0165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Marozsan43c9,927$4,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,317.944930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x620b…d4adbacked Marozsan25c5,999$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.751936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Rinderknech77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15052844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Marozsan33c4,846$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.862,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rinderknech68c3,081$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.124544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e58…fbd0backed Rinderknech57c3,030$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Rinderknech35c2,996$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.31643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Rinderknech54c2,774$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.091,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marozsan44c2,704$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.11,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Marozsan44c2,688$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.852147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd297…2c15backed Marozsan32c2,474$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.39825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marozsan26c2,345$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Rinderknech56c2,321$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.435448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Rinderknech53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106f…7bb2backed Marozsan42c1,903$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Rinderknech78c1,729$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.057152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Rinderknech76c1,441$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rinderknech72c1,409$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.376,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marozsan46c1,398$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.179137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Rinderknech60c1,330$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.611060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad1e…6b90backed Rinderknech78c1,279$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.572166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b1…4cbcbacked Marozsan46c1,258$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0302…9c74backed Rinderknech54c1,258$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Rinderknech59c1,218$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6513435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Rinderknech37c1,200$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7552263.6%14 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+56.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7f5b…b993backed Marozsan27c1,155$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.682626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Rinderknech58c1,142$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.575630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd2…f13ebacked Marozsan45c1,127$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x750b…bc91backed Rinderknech54c1,103$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a73…eb3bbacked Marozsan46c1,103$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Rinderknech53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Rinderknech43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5704742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Rinderknech56c969.07$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.395843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Marozsan45c932.95$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.8357645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Rinderknech56c893$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.9212050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked Rinderknech60c831.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.273852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rinderknech74c823.99$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.061,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Rinderknech32c799.98$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.983426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Rinderknech80c732.74$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.552147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Rinderknech58c713.29$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8712161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf1…13a7backed Rinderknech74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marozsan37c678.81$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.88,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68b5…b56fbacked Rinderknech59c677.63$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.833743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Rinderknech52c674.4$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2128833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Marozsan53c664.36$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.071,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rinderknech55c606.75$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0481938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Marozsan45c584.6$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0796035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Rinderknech58c444.5$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.676358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Marozsan45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Rinderknech78c410.26$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6da…b2cdbacked Rinderknech57c403.3$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1753345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Rinderknech43c395.65$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Marozsan51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Rinderknech54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3765651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Marozsan43c367.63$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8873048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Marozsan28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Rinderknech56c356.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.962733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Marozsan57c355.15$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.963228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Marozsan45c350$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.530339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Marozsan42c306.18$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.991250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Marozsan70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Rinderknech55c298.18$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1822744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ff…edc5backed Marozsan34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Rinderknech38c265.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.772240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Marozsan25c264.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.921717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Rinderknech44c240$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.58248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b01backed Rinderknech78c233.17$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+72.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Marozsan45c221.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.924340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Rinderknech55c218.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.25050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Rinderknech53c209.47$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.45333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Rinderknech49c206.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6310250%51 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Rinderknech74c202.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.615362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Rinderknech59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Marozsan44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9918943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Rinderknech51c194.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.231,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Marozsan27c184.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.773948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Rinderknech55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Rinderknech56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Rinderknech74c175$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0623852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Marozsan44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.322840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Rinderknech59c168.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7846556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95b…96f2backed Rinderknech57c166.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Marozsan71c160.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.944143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Rinderknech71c153.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9343158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x225f…5ec6backed Rinderknech55c152.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.661770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Marozsan49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.517442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b4…cacabacked Marozsan69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0480…0a91backed Rinderknech56c135.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.096944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x62fd…8bcfbacked Rinderknech76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8396…e909backed Rinderknech80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf773…b62dbacked Marozsan46c109.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1c…2bccbacked Marozsan37c107.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b53…1fa3backed Rinderknech78c101.03$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5056…e270backed Rinderknech56c100.93$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.415761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rinderknech30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7024529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…842cbacked Marozsan46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.