TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katie Swanof Tereza Martincova, Katie Swan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Tereza Martincova36c9,418$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,363.818,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Tereza Martincova30c6,922$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.4628039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Katie Swan52c6,466$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.5393740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Katie Swan50c1,994$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.1621046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tereza Martincova10c1,974$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.014,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d8…f8fabacked Tereza Martincova57c1,418$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.472850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Tereza Martincova18c1,183$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21337421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Tereza Martincova54c1,124$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.192,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tereza Martincova56c1,103$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.066,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc667…34cebacked Tereza Martincova10c1,101$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+60.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Katie Swan46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.7178840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x720a…74aebacked Tereza Martincova8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Tereza Martincova53c947.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tereza Martincova30c855.42$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Katie Swan56c816.4$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.144,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Tereza Martincova10c599.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Tereza Martincova53c566.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Katie Swan51c504.43$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.171,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Tereza Martincova53c477.14$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.054,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Tereza Martincova53c476$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.871,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Katie Swan78c470.99$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.621,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Katie Swan47c446.6$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.77,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Katie Swan47c427.45$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.553,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Tereza Martincova55c401.84$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010440.4%42 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc542…7fe1backed Katie Swan46c390$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.74953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Tereza Martincova14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Tereza Martincova57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Katie Swan43c305$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.857,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Katie Swan47c290.11$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.872,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Tereza Martincova55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Tereza Martincova52c271.47$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.032,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Tereza Martincova12c231.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.835730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f0…b753backed Katie Swan78c211$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4214369.2%99 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43f…3b20backed Tereza Martincova56c210.04$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6211338.9%44 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Katie Swan48c208.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5419938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…dc5abacked Tereza Martincova10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Tereza Martincova53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Katie Swan48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.672,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Katie Swan47c144.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6447854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Katie Swan46c112$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4839149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Tereza Martincova55c111.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.062,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Katie Swan47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Katie Swan48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.175850%29 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Tereza Martincova35c99.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1785742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Tereza Martincova12c99.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9140527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Tereza Martincova12c98.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.682,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Katie Swan48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.756459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Tereza Martincova55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Katie Swan48c88.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.793,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4def…06e6backed Tereza Martincova12c86.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.435117.6%9 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Katie Swan47c86.91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.063,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Katie Swan48c72.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6939443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Tereza Martincova54c68.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3718447.3%87 W · 97 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Katie Swan46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2223551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Katie Swan48c58.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.222,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Katie Swan47c57.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4551347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Tereza Martincova54c57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7279951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Tereza Martincova53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Katie Swan59c53.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.963,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Katie Swan46c51.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Tereza Martincova54c50.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.521949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20cb…d211backed Tereza Martincova21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510358.3%60 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Katie Swan49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Tereza Martincova54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff87…f5f7backed Katie Swan46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…7fdfbacked Tereza Martincova52c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266139.3%24 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Tereza Martincova55c46.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3719459.3%115 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Katie Swan47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.792,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Katie Swan46c38.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8754746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5820…b6f6backed Tereza Martincova55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208959.6%53 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Tereza Martincova55c33.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2991755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Tereza Martincova42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.683047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Katie Swan47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.952035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b09…aca6backed Katie Swan47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.259147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Tereza Martincova52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Katie Swan50c24.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.466,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Tereza Martincova54c22.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3720048%96 W · 104 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Katie Swan47c22.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.833661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Katie Swan80c20.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0438074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Tereza Martincova54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked Tereza Martincova54c18.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55c6…0d49backed Katie Swan79c13.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.864381.4%35 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick78cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41dd…6c94backed Katie Swan80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53756.8%21 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.